PolymarketOpen

Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026?

No93%

Yes7%

Price checked at Sep 30, 10:30 AM UTC

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24h volume$253.1

7d volume$255.2

30d volume$3.5K

Liquidity$214.6

Spread12%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 17 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	85% No	$92.9	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 11:15 AM UTC