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Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by February 28, 2027?

Yes68%
No32%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$7.2
Spread61%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC