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Will the Hang Seng Index be at least HK$26,500 in September 2026?

No98%
At least HK$26,5002%

Price checked at

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24h volume$1
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread45%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 19 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 14Sep 20Sep 25Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the value of Hang Seng Index (HSI) is at least HK$26,500 from Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the Hang Seng Index as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed HK$26,500 at any single point during from Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach HK$26,500 at any point during from Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. If no data is available for from Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified. Disclaimer: Kalshi and its source agencies are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any relationship directly with the index provider. These markets are in accordance with their respective Pyth feeds.

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As of Oct 1, 06:49 AM UTC