KalshiOpen

How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.90?

No94%
Below $3.906%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 7, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 14Sep 20Sep 25Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $3.90, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes. This is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.70?Kalshi52% Below $5.70Open
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.90?Kalshi85% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.50?Kalshi51% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.30?Kalshi76% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.10?Kalshi53% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.10?Kalshi95% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.30?Kalshi95% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.50?Kalshi94% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.70?Kalshi80% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.50?Kalshi95% NoOpen
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?: Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.70?Kalshi96% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Sep 30, 01:17 PM UTC