LimitlessOpen

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...: September 30

No99%
Yes1%

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ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 14Sep 19Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...: October 31Limitless99% YesOpen
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...: December 31Limitless99% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC