PolymarketOpen

Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?

No88%
Yes13%

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24h volume$8
7d volume$28
30d volume$980
Liquidity$2.5K
Spread7%
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 28 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Polymarket61% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 09:33 PM UTC