Tech layoff rate above 1.8% in Aug 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the layoffs and discharges rate for the Information industry in August 2026 is greater than 1.8%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “tech layoffs” refers exclusively to the layoffs and discharges rate for the Information industry reported in FRED series JTU5100LDR. This is a monthly, not seasonally adjusted rate expressed as a percentage. The market will resolve using the first value published for the specified month; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tech layoff rate above 1.5% in Aug 2026? | Kalshi | 56% No | Open |
| Tech layoff rate above 1.2% in Aug 2026? | Kalshi | 79% Above 1.2% | Open |
| Tech layoff rate above 2.4% in Aug 2026? | Kalshi | 88% No | Open |
| Tech layoff rate above 0.9% in Aug 2026? | Kalshi | 95% Above 0.9% | Open |
| Tech layoff rate above 2.1% in Aug 2026? | Kalshi | 84% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 01:25 PM UTC