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How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

No78%
Below $500.0022%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread68%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $500.00, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $610.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi84% Below $610.00Open
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $580.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi93% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $490.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi78% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $480.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi59% Below $480.00Open
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $510.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi78% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $520.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi78% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $530.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi78% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $540.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi78% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $560.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi78% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $570.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi78% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $650.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi99% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $630.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi99% Below $630.00Open
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $600.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi82% Below $600.00Open
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $590.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi99% Below $590.00Open
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $620.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi99% NoOpen
How low will BNB get in September?: Will BNB trimmed mean be below $640.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi99% Below $640.00Open

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC