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Venezuela crude oil production in September: Will Venezuela’s average daily crude oil production for September be at least 1.1M bpd?

At least 1.1M bpd59%
No41%

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24h volume$0
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Spread83%
ResolvesOct 20, 2026in 20 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Venezuela’s average daily crude oil production for September is at least 1.1M bpd, as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Venezuela’s crude oil production based on secondary sources, as shown in the OPEC crude oil production table. OPEC reports this figure in thousand barrels per day (tb/d); for purposes of this market, 800K bpd equals 800 tb/d and 1.0M bpd equals 1,000 tb/d. Venezuela’s direct-communication figure and any natural gas liquids or non-conventional liquids figures will not be used. Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent reports will not be considered.

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As of Sep 29, 09:42 PM UTC