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Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$19.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 6, 202623 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Comments11

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11 comments

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  • eagleeyestocks · 10 days ago

    Auf geht`s Uli

  • Korne · 19 days ago

    While Siegmund previously said that he only wants to govern with a "stable majority", today he said he’d also want to govern with just a majority of one seat

  • Korne · 20 days ago

    Welp ://// BSW starts official talks with AfD; Schulze said he'd expect them to have a government in 2 weeks

  • Korne · 21 days ago

    Greens are the next party after SPD that says they will support a nonpartisan minister president, which BSW wants

  • Korne · 21 days ago

    BSW said they won’t do a coalition with AfD. Meanwhile AfD said, they won’t do a minority government and only will do a coalition or have single CDU/BSW people join them. CDU says they think it’s very unlikely any CDU people would move to AfD

  • Darling-Eurocentrism-Stepbrother · 22 days ago

    Bsw failed in Thuringa and Brandenburg. If Bsw flips this time and decides to go into a coalition= 3,5k gone. Please stop gambling

  • Korne · 22 days ago

    By gambling I guess. Yeah, I shouldn't have touched those

  • GlazeTheKing · 22 days ago

    how can you even lose 20k on bitcoin markets

  • GlazeTheKing · 22 days ago

    -20k lmao

  • mcpetrus · 22 days ago

    In the 3rd round of voting the AfD needs only a single defector... thus.. Siegmund’s election is likely. However there remains a major uncertainty: does he even want the role? After all governing would require three defectors—and on a sustained basis. While the BSW has announced plans to implement certain policy points with the AfD, it has ruled out doing so for others. It is particularly doubtful whether a budget could be passed through parliament under such conditions. The AfD would therefore be taking a massive risk; consequently, the outcome remains completely open.

  • Korne · 22 days ago

    SPD is open to the BSW concept of a government without party politicians

As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC