KalshiOpen

Will DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices? Yes

No93%
Yes7%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Department of Justice's filing of a civil antitrust complaint against any listed grocery retailer in its beef-affordability investigation is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states the U.S. Department of Justice filed the qualifying civil antitrust complaint, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. The listed retailers are Aldi Inc., Amazon.com, Inc., Ahold Delhaize USA, Inc., Albertsons Companies, Inc., Costco Wholesale Corporation, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Inc., and Walmart, Inc. A complaint naming at least one listed retailer qualifies. An investigative demand, subpoena, preservation request, investigation announcement, settlement without a qualifying complaint, or complaint naming only a meat processor or another party does NOT qualify.

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC