KalshiOpen

US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 9.0%?

No81%

Above 9.0%19%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:36 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesJan 17, 2031in 4 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 is above 9.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2030. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 9.5%?	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 8.5%?	Kalshi	75% No	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 6.0%?	Kalshi	54% Above 6.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 6.5%?	Kalshi	52% No	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 7.0%?	Kalshi	58% No	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 5.5%?	Kalshi	59% Above 5.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 8.0%?	Kalshi	69% No	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 7.5%?	Kalshi	64% No	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 4.5%?	Kalshi	71% Above 4.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 10.0%?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 3.0%?	Kalshi	91% Above 3.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 5.0%?	Kalshi	65% Above 5.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 4.0%?	Kalshi	76% Above 4.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030: Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 3.5%?	Kalshi	82% Above 3.5%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 12:38 PM UTC