KalshiOpen

Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $6.20?

Above $6.2070%
No30%

Price checked at

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24h volume$1.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 10, 2026next month

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 is above $6.20, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the value shown in the “Diesel” column of the “Current Avg.” row in AAA’s National Average Gas Prices table for November 3, 2026. “Election Day” refers specifically to November 3, 2026. The market is based on the single daily value for that date, not an average calculated during voting hours or over any longer period.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $6.40?Kalshi53% Above $6.40Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $6.60?Kalshi67% NoOpen
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.60?Kalshi73% Above $5.60Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $6.00?Kalshi61% Above $6.00Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $6.80?Kalshi67% NoOpen
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $7.00?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $7.20?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.80?Kalshi64% Above $5.80Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.20?Kalshi91% Above $5.20Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.40?Kalshi91% Above $5.40Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $4.80?Kalshi98% Above $4.80Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $4.60?Kalshi99% Above $4.60Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.00?Kalshi97% Above $5.00Open
Diesel price on Election Day: Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $4.40?Kalshi99% Above $4.40Open

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 09:21 PM UTC