KalshiOpen

September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP: Will U3 be 4.3% AND NFP growth be 50-99k for Sep 2026? U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k

No97%
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k3%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.

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As of Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC