PolymarketResolved

Will Elon tweet 600-639 times in September 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 22 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 11Sep 15Sep 19Sep 23Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Elon tweet 560-599 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 720-759 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 680-719 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 640-679 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1040-1079 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1360-1399 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1080-1119 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1240-1279 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1320-1359 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1120-1159 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1280-1319 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1400 or more times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1160-1199 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1200-1239 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?Polymarket54% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 760-799 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon tweet 1000-1039 times in September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 06:11 AM UTC