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New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?: Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

New York Times wins54%
New York Times loses or settles46%

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24h volume$78
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 4Sep 17Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Southern District of New York has found OpenAI liable for copyright infringement (or any of the counts alleged by the Times), then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Oct 1, 06:08 AM UTC