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Tesla Optimus released this year?: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?

No97%
Before 20273%

Price checked at

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24h volume$938
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Sep 29, 09:14 PM UTC