KalshiOpen

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?: Which countries will have recessions? United Kingdom

No85%

United Kingdom16%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:01 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread36%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?: Which countries will have recessions? China	Kalshi	99% No	$5	—	—	Open
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?: Which countries will have recessions? Japan	Kalshi	94% No	$2.2	—	—	Open
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?: Which countries will have recessions? India	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC