KalshiOpen

EU loses a member before 2030?: Will a country leave the EU by 2030?

Not By 203089%
By 203011%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 9Aug 22Sep 4Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any country formally leaves the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC