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How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?: Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?

No98%
42%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If 4 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC