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Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?: Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029

No93%

Before Jan 1, 20297%

Price checked at Sep 30, 05:59 PM UTC

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24h volume$701

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 21, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the 22nd Amendment has been repealed by a subsequent Constitutional Amendment, or if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled in an opinion or judgment that the 22nd Amendment permits individuals to be elected to the Presidency at least thrice under at least some circumstances, before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 30, 06:27 PM UTC