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What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? Not nine justices

No90%
Not nine justices10%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 9Aug 22Sep 4Sep 17Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If on Jan 20, 2029 there are N/A Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and N/A Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes. If there are not nine justices at the time of Expiration, then that strike will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

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As of Sep 29, 10:18 PM UTC