KalshiOpen

How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?: Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

No59%

Below 7.2541%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:47 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesDec 26, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the United States falls below 7.25 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?: Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028	Kalshi	61% Below 7.50	$550	—	—	Open
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?: Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028	Kalshi	83% Below 7.60	$0	—	—	Open
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?: Will the US fall below 7.00 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028	Kalshi	64% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 02:06 PM UTC