KalshiOpen

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by $500 billion before 2028? At least 500 billion

No98%

At least 500 billion2%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:51 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread5%

ResolvesMar 31, 2029in 3 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $500 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by 100 before 2028? At least 100 billion	Kalshi	98% No	$79.1	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2028? At least $1 billion	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2028? At least 50 billion	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028? At least 200 billion	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by 150 before 2028? At least 150 billion	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028? At least 750 billion	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028? At least 250 billion	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by $1000 billion before 2028? At least 1 trillion	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: Will government spending decrease by $2000 billion before 2028? At least 2 trillion	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:17 PM UTC