KalshiOpen

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? European Space Agency

No100%

European Space Agency0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:01 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

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Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2031in 4 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If European Space Agency is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes. If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? United States	Kalshi	54% United States	$142	—	—	Open
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? China	Kalshi	69% No	$92.6	—	—	Open
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? India	Kalshi	100% No	$25	—	—	Open
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? Russia	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC