Mississippi Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Mississippi? Cindy Hyde-Smith

Cindy Hyde-Smith90%
No10%

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ResolvesJan 4, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Mississippi for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves using AP, Fox News, and NBC calls, or official certification if necessary; Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus and otherwise uses the swearing-in condition. Polymarket explicitly includes runoffs, while Kalshi does not state that detail, but both concern the same election outcome.
  • Kalshithis market

    Mississippi Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Mississippi? Cindy Hyde-Smith

    If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Mississippi for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 10:18 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    110 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 27, 01:47 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mississippi Senate winner?: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Mississippi? Scott ColomKalshi90% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC