KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

New Hampshire Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire? John E. Sununu

No87%

John E. Sununu13%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:39 PM UTC

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24h volume$29.1K

7d volume—

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Spread1%

ResolvesJan 4, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may settle based on a Republican being sworn in and permits accelerated determination, while Polymarket uses calls by AP, Fox News, and NBC or official certification. These are resolution-method differences for the same election outcome; Kalshi also lists a settlement time while Polymarket does not.

Kalshithis market
New Hampshire Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire? John E. Sununu
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 06:23 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
111 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 27, 05:13 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
New Hampshire Senate winner?: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Hampshire? Chris Pappas	Kalshi	87% Chris Pappas	$8.7K	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC