KalshiOpen

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

No82%

Before 202918%

Price checked at Sep 30, 04:43 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesJan 1, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If another Quebec independence referendum has a date announced (either by the Quebec provincial government or the Canadian federal government) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The referendum's date doesn't need to be before Jan 1, 2029, a date just has to be announced before Jan 1, 2029.

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As of Sep 30, 05:04 AM UTC