KalshiOpen

Will there be a year without polio before 2030?: Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?

No93%

Before 20307%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:20 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

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Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC