KalshiOpen

Will there be a Trump economic boom?: Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?

No64%
Above 5%36%

Price checked at

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24h volume$61.4
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 26, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC