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Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?: Will SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?

No95%
Before 20275%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 12Aug 25Sep 6Sep 19Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Starship HLS has a test launch after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Oct 1, 05:35 PM UTC