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Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?: Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? Before election day 2026

No97%
Before election day 20263%

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24h volume$8.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Mitch McConnell has resigned, retired, or otherwise voluntarily stepped down from their Congressional office, or announced their intent to resign, retire, or otherwise voluntarily step down from their office prematurely, after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 11:29 PM UTC