KalshiOpen

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

No94%
Before 20276%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 17Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 05:05 AM UTC