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Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?: Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in civil court? Before his term ends

No74%
Before his term ends26%

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24h volume$100
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 10Aug 23Sep 4Sep 17Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Donald J. Trump is held liable for civil damages in any court for any action related to the Capitol Attack on January 6, 2021, before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC