KalshiOpen

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?: Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?

No87%
Before 202913%

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24h volume$10.8
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 21, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Canada that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Canada must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC