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Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?: Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029? Before 2029

No61%

Before 202939%

Price checked at Oct 2, 02:41 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Oct 2, 02:46 PM UTC