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Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?: Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? Before 2029

No85%

Before 202915%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:01 PM UTC

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24h volume$479.2

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2029in 2 years

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v. Hodges after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Obergefell v. Hodges will be considered “overturned” if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that the Constitution of the United States does not guarantee the right to marriage to same-sex couples.

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As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC