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Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?: Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? Before 2030

Before 203064%

No36%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:51 PM UTC

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24h volume$118.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 11:14 PM UTC