KalshiOpen

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?: Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? Before Jan 20, 2029

No59%
Before Jan 20, 202941%

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24h volume$54.5
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?: Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? Before 2027Kalshi82% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 08:30 PM UTC