KalshiOpen
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? Robert O'Brien
No84%
Robert O'Brien16%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Secretary of State is Robert O'Brien before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? No other person | Kalshi | 56% No other person | Open |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? Ric Grenell | Kalshi | 85% No | Open |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? Mike Waltz | Kalshi | 100% No | Open |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? Bill Hagerty | Kalshi | 96% No | Open |
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As of Sep 30, 04:38 AM UTC