KalshiOpen

What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?: What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? At least 5000

No55%

At least 500045%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:01 PM UTC

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24h volume$191.2

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?: What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? At least 4500	Kalshi	56% No	$10	—	—	Open
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?: What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? At least 4000	Kalshi	75% At least 4000	$2.6	—	—	Open
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?: What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? At least 2500	Kalshi	91% At least 2500	$0	—	—	Open
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?: What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? At least 3500	Kalshi	73% At least 3500	$0	—	—	Open
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?: What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? At least 3000	Kalshi	70% At least 3000	$0	—	—	Open
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?: What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? At least 2000	Kalshi	96% At least 2000	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC