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How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? At least 50
No94%
At least 506%
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Spread5%
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months
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Resolution rules
If Elon Musk supports at least 50 non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Special elections between Jun 4, 2025 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.
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As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC