KalshiOpen

Will Trump bring back manufacturing? Before 2029

No78%
Before 202922%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesJun 30, 2029in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 01:14 PM UTC