KalshiOpen
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? Before 2029
No78%
Before 202922%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread7%
ResolvesJun 30, 2029in 3 years
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.
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As of Sep 30, 01:14 PM UTC