KalshiOpen

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

No87%

Before 202813%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:51 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.1

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesDec 31, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 11:07 PM UTC