KalshiOpen

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? Before 2050

No73%

Before 205027%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:10 PM UTC

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24h volume$4

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 1, 2050in 23 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 09:35 PM UTC