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Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?: Will it be reported that Joe Biden Using Ambien before debates? Before 2028

Before 202894%
No6%

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24h volume$247.8
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 14Aug 26Sep 7Sep 19Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Joe Biden using Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate is reported on by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. It must be originally reported by one of the Source Agencies; e.g. a publication reporting on a person saying so is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

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As of Oct 1, 12:49 PM UTC