KalshiOpen

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? Minnesota

No98%
Minnesota3%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Minnesota legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in Minnesota as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its adoption For clarity: Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will resolve to YES if they are ultimately in effect by the Expiration Date Maps that are completely redrawn by a court or special master will resolve to NO Maps that are withdrawn by the Legislature before implementation will resolve to NO If no new maps are adopted by Nov 1, 2026, the market will resolve to NO Clarification (09/03/26): Alabama’s May 2026 legislation providing for special congressional primary elections does not constitute adoption of a new congressional district map for purposes of this Contract. The reinstatement and subsequent use of the congressional district map enacted in 2023, including its use in the August 2026 special primary, do not satisfy the Payout Criterion because that map was adopted before Issuance. This market may still resolve to “Yes” if the Alabama legislature adopts a new qualifying congressional district map before November 1, 2026 that otherwise satisfies the Payout Criterion. For the avoidance of doubt, the provision concerning maps temporarily stayed pending appeal does not make a map adopted before Issuance qualifying under the Payout Criterion.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? VirginiaKalshi97% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? MarylandKalshi100% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? UtahKalshi97% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? MissouriKalshi99% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? GeorgiaKalshi99% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? New YorkKalshi97% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? TexasKalshi98% TexasOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? North CarolinaKalshi98% North CarolinaOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? FloridaKalshi97% FloridaOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? ArizonaKalshi98% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? MississippiKalshi96% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? TennesseeKalshi99% TennesseeOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? AlabamaKalshi98% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? IllinoisKalshi98% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? WisconsinKalshi96% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? NebraskaKalshi98% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? KansasKalshi100% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? IndianaKalshi99% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? South CarolinaKalshi96% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? WashingtonKalshi98% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? New JerseyKalshi98% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? LouisianaKalshi96% LouisianaOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? OhioKalshi99% OhioOpen
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?: What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? CaliforniaKalshi98% CaliforniaOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 09:28 PM UTC