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Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?: Will experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

No78%
Between 2025 and 2035?22%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesDec 31, 2035in 9 years

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 03:06 AM UTC