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Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?: Will Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?

No88%
Citigroup12%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Citigroup serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.

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As of Sep 29, 08:32 PM UTC