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Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?: Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?

No91%
Mars9%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesAug 1, 2099in 73 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 12:18 AM UTC